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Middleweight
3 Rounds
John Howard won · S-DEC R3
Elo1430
Uriah Hall
Elo1490

Uriah HallvsJohn HowardUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · Saturday, August 17, 2013Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

John Howard won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUriah Hall: Well-roundedvsJohn Howard: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Uriah Hall wins(67.2%)

Actual result: John Howard wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uriah Hall at -475 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Uriah Hall has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Uriah Hall
Red Corner
VS
John Howard
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
1430
Elo
1490
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
200.66 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uriah HallL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19
W
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21
L
vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22
latest
John Howard
oldest →
L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 14
L
vs Brian Ebersole · Sep 14
L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15
W
vs Cathal Pendred · Jul 15
L
KOvs Tim Means · Dec 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uriah HallMetricJohn Howard
3.23
Strikes / min
2.15
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
3.08
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
2.70
64%
Takedown defense
53%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1459Strikes44.0 vs 19.1Takedowns2.0 vs 2.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.57Form-1.0 vs -0.8
Uriah HallJohn Howard

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Uriah Hall(10 fights)John Howard(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -60.7|Blue +60.7
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff
Red -657.0|Blue +657.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uriah HallTargetJohn Howard

By target zone

17
49% acc · 41%
Head
10
32% acc · 30%
8
89% acc · 20%
Body
6
50% acc · 18%
16
89% acc · 39%
Leg
17
94% acc · 52%

By position

19
51% acc · 46%
Distance
18
44% acc · 55%
15
94% acc · 37%
Clinch
10
71% acc · 30%
7
78% acc · 17%
Ground
5
83% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Uriah Hall rounds
2
even
0
John Howard rounds
Round 1Uriah Hall edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control2:26
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control1:05
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:56Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:20
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
41 / 62
Sig Strikes
33 / 61
67.7%
Sig Str %
54.7%
59 / 82
Total Strikes
92 / 126
2 / 8
TDs
2 / 6
22%
TD %
27.7%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
4:51
Ctrl Time
3:47

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1John Howard9 / 2226 / 390 / 10
1Uriah Hall15 / 2027 / 341 / 30
2John Howard12 / 2239 / 531 / 31
2Uriah Hall15 / 2720 / 320 / 20
3John Howard12 / 1727 / 341 / 20
3Uriah Hall11 / 1512 / 161 / 30

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights20

John Howard

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11