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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Uriah Hall won · S-DEC R3
Elo1430
Uriah Hall
Elo1395

Uriah HallvsAntonio Carlos JuniorUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Saturday, September 14, 2019Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Uriah Hall won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUriah Hall: Well-roundedvsAntonio Carlos Junior: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Antonio Carlos Junior wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Uriah Hall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Antonio Carlos Junior at -270 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Uriah Hall
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Carlos Junior
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
1430
Elo
1395
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uriah HallL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Bevon Lewis · Dec 18
W
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21
L
vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22
latest
Antonio Carlos JuniorL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16
W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17
W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18
L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19
L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uriah HallMetricAntonio Carlos Junior
3.23
Strikes / min
1.95
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
3.42
64%
Takedown defense
53%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1549Strikes3.3 vs 1.9Takedowns0.8 vs 3.7Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.90Form0.2 vs -0.1
Uriah HallAntonio Carlos Junior

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Uriah Hall(10 fights)Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uriah HallTargetAntonio Carlos Junior

By target zone

31
41% acc · 91%
Head
16
25% acc · 73%
3
75% acc · 9%
Body
5
100% acc · 23%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 5%

By position

22
36% acc · 65%
Distance
18
28% acc · 82%
1
100% acc · 3%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 9%
11
65% acc · 32%
Ground
2
100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Uriah Hall rounds
0
even
2
Antonio Carlos Junior rounds
Round 1Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:08Control
Round 2Uriah Hall edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:25
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:09Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:25Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
34 / 79
Sig Strikes
22 / 69
37.3%
Sig Str %
24.3%
41 / 86
Total Strikes
81 / 148
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 8
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:25
Ctrl Time
10:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Antonio Carlos Junior13 / 3931 / 592 / 40
1Uriah Hall12 / 3312 / 330 / 00
2Antonio Carlos Junior9 / 2232 / 450 / 30
2Uriah Hall20 / 3720 / 370 / 00
3Antonio Carlos Junior0 / 818 / 441 / 10
3Uriah Hall2 / 99 / 160 / 00

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights20

Antonio Carlos Junior

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11