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Elo1506
Uran Satybaldiev
Elo1515
Dustin Jacoby

Uran SatybaldievvsDustin JacobyUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Fight begins in

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dustin Jacoby has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Uran Satybaldiev
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Jacoby
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1506
Elo
1515
31
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uran Satybaldiev
oldest →
L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 25
W
SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Aug 25
latest
Dustin Jacoby
oldest →
L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24
W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24
W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25
W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26
L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uran SatybaldievMetricDustin Jacoby
2.14
Strikes / min
5.40
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
44%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.32
50%
Takedown defense
62%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.52Δ 3.00 — meaningful gap+1.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701490151015301550← oldermost recent →
Uran Satybaldiev(2 fights)Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -9.3|Blue +9.3
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red +15.2|Blue -15.2
Layoff
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Uran Satybaldiev

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19