Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26 Song Yadong
oldest →W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Umar NurmagomedovMetricSong Yadong
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.00Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+0.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +19.2|Blue -19.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.
Historical win share: Song Yadong earned 42% of wins by KO/TKO.
Historical win share: Umar Nurmagomedov earned 25% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
