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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tyson Pedro won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1501
Elo1431
Harry Hunsucker

Tyson PedrovsHarry HunsuckerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · Saturday, August 20, 2022Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Tyson Pedro won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:05

Model Prediction: Tyson Pedro wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Tyson Pedro wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tyson Pedro at -850 American odds

+$12 profit

$112 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Harry Hunsucker has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Tyson Pedro has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tyson Pedro has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Tyson Pedro has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Pedro
Red Corner
VS
Harry Hunsucker
Blue Corner
-850
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
1501
Elo
1431
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson Pedro
oldest →
L
KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 18
W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22
L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23
W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23
L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24
latest
Harry HunsuckerL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 21
L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Dec 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson PedroMetricHarry Hunsucker
2.90
Strikes / min
3.54
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
6.53
56%
Strike defense
42%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 3.50 — meaningful gap-2.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1513 vs 1473Strikes2.9 vs 3.5Takedowns0.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.80 vs 2.00Form0.8 vs -1.0
Tyson PedroHarry Hunsucker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tyson Pedro(10 fights)Harry Hunsucker(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +69.2|Blue -69.2
Recent Form
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson PedroTargetHarry Hunsucker

By target zone

5
50% acc · 83%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 17%
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 100%

By position

4
57% acc · 67%
Distance
2
50% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
2
50% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tyson Pedro rounds
0
even
0
Harry Hunsucker rounds
Round 1Tyson Pedro edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 11
Sig Strikes
2 / 4
54%
Sig Str %
50%
6 / 11
Total Strikes
2 / 4
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Harry Hunsucker2 / 42 / 40 / 00
1Tyson Pedro6 / 116 / 110 / 00

Tyson Pedro

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11

Harry Hunsucker

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3