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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tyson Nam won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1469
Elo1494

Tyson NamvsZarrukh AdashevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · Saturday, June 13, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tyson Nam won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:32

Style matchupTyson Nam: StrikervsZarrukh Adashev: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Tyson Nam wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Tyson Nam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tyson Nam at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tyson Nam is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Zarrukh Adashev has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Zarrukh Adashev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Nam
Red Corner
VS
Zarrukh Adashev
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1469
Elo
1494
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson NamL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jerome Rivera · Sep 20
L
vs Matt Schnell · Jan 21
W
KOvs Ode Osbourne · Aug 22
L
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Mar 23
L
vs Azat Maksum · Jul 23
latest
Zarrukh Adashev
oldest →
L
vs Su Mudaerji · Jan 21
W
vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 21
L
KOvs Ode Osbourne · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson NamMetricZarrukh Adashev
3.87
Strikes / min
3.65
4.97
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
65%
Strike defense
64%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
87%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1470 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs 0.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Tyson NamZarrukh Adashev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tyson Nam(8 fights)Zarrukh Adashev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -25.4|Blue +25.4
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson NamTargetZarrukh Adashev

By target zone

2
67% acc · 100%
Head
1
20% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

1
50% acc · 50%
Distance
2
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tyson Nam rounds
0
even
0
Zarrukh Adashev rounds
Round 1Tyson Nam edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
2 / 3
Sig Strikes
2 / 6
66%
Sig Str %
33%
2 / 3
Total Strikes
2 / 6
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Zarrukh Adashev2 / 62 / 60 / 00
1Tyson Nam2 / 32 / 30 / 00

Tyson Nam

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8

Zarrukh Adashev

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4