Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Tyson Nam won · KO/TKO

Elo1469

Elo1403

Tyson NamvsJerome RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Saturday, September 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tyson Nam won

KO/TKO

Style matchupTyson Nam: StrikervsJerome Rivera: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Jerome Rivera wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Tyson Nam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jerome Rivera at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tyson Nam has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tyson Nam has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jerome Rivera (53.5%).
Jerome Rivera has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Nam

Red Corner

Jerome Rivera

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1469

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

172.72 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson NamL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zarrukh Adashev · Jun 20

vs Matt Schnell · Jan 21

KOvs Ode Osbourne · Aug 22

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Mar 23

vs Azat Maksum · Jul 23

latest

Jerome RiveraL2 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jan 21

SUBvs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson NamMetricJerome Rivera

3.87

Strikes / min

3.21

4.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.60

65%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

87%

Takedown defense

40%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.10Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tyson NamJerome Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tyson Nam(8 fights)Jerome Rivera(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +65.6|Blue -65.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson NamTargetJerome Rivera

By target zone

47% acc · 75%

Head

20% acc · 30%

58% acc · 19%

Body

18% acc · 7%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

79% acc · 63%

By position

38% acc · 50%

Distance

37% acc · 97%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

68% acc · 42%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tyson Nam rounds

even

Jerome Rivera rounds

Round 1Jerome Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:06

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tyson Nam edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:17

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 72

Sig Strikes

30 / 80

53.5%

Sig Str %

43%

36 / 72

Total Strikes

31 / 81

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jerome Rivera	28 / 76	29 / 77	0 / 0
1	Tyson Nam	20 / 48	20 / 48	0 / 0
2	Jerome Rivera	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0
2	Tyson Nam	16 / 24	16 / 24	0 / 0

Tyson Nam

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Jerome Rivera

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3