← All fights/Event page

Flyweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Silva won · SUB R2

Elo1469

Elo1453

Tyson NamvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Saturday, March 11, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:23

Style matchupTyson Nam: StrikervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Bruno Silva wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bruno Silva at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tyson Nam has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Bruno Silva has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Nam

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

+152

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1469

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

6'0"

172.72 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson Nam

oldest →

KOvs Zarrukh Adashev · Jun 20

KOvs Jerome Rivera · Sep 20

vs Matt Schnell · Jan 21

KOvs Ode Osbourne · Aug 22

vs Azat Maksum · Jul 23

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson NamMetricBruno Silva

3.87

Strikes / min

3.86

4.97

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

65%

Strike defense

41%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.77

87%

Takedown defense

74%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.10evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tyson NamBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tyson Nam(8 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.6|Blue -15.6

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson NamTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

19% acc · 50%

Head

42% acc · 61%

75% acc · 25%

Body

63% acc · 22%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

32% acc · 100%

Distance

55% acc · 91%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

33% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tyson Nam rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:53Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 38

Sig Strikes

23 / 45

17%

Sig Str %

48%

12 / 38

Total Strikes

27 / 50

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Silva	19 / 36	19 / 36	0 / 1	0
1	Tyson Nam	12 / 35	12 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Bruno Silva	4 / 9	8 / 14	0 / 0	1
2	Tyson Nam	0 / 3	0 / 3	0 / 0	0

Tyson Nam

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23