Flyweight

3 Rounds

Azat Maksum won · S-DEC R3

Elo1469

Elo1467

Tyson NamvsAzat MaksumUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Saturday, July 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Azat Maksum won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTyson Nam: StrikervsAzat Maksum: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Azat Maksum wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Azat Maksum wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Azat Maksum at -405 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tyson Nam has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Azat Maksum (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Nam

Red Corner

Azat Maksum

Blue Corner

+320

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-405

(80%)

1469

Elo

1467

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson Nam

oldest →

KOvs Zarrukh Adashev · Jun 20

KOvs Jerome Rivera · Sep 20

vs Matt Schnell · Jan 21

KOvs Ode Osbourne · Aug 22

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Mar 23

latest

Azat MaksumL3 streak

oldest →

vs Charles Johnson · Feb 24

vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Jun 25

vs Mitch Raposo · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson NamMetricAzat Maksum

3.87

Strikes / min

2.75

4.97

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

65%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.50

87%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.10evenly matched on net striking-1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tyson NamAzat Maksum

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tyson Nam(8 fights)Azat Maksum(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson NamTargetAzat Maksum

By target zone

18% acc · 33%

Head

20% acc · 72%

68% acc · 23%

Body

57% acc · 26%

97% acc · 43%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

38% acc · 98%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tyson Nam rounds

even

Azat Maksum rounds

Round 1Azat Maksum edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Tyson Nam edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Tyson Nam edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:30

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 213

Sig Strikes

46 / 189

37.3%

Sig Str %

24.3%

98 / 242

Total Strikes

46 / 190

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 11

—

TD %

17.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:30

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Azat Maksum	18 / 60	18 / 60	1 / 5
1	Tyson Nam	19 / 49	19 / 49	0 / 0
2	Azat Maksum	15 / 73	15 / 73	0 / 3
2	Tyson Nam	31 / 80	31 / 80	0 / 0
3	Azat Maksum	13 / 56	13 / 57	1 / 3
3	Tyson Nam	31 / 84	48 / 113	0 / 0

Tyson Nam

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Azat Maksum

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4