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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Takanori Gomi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Tyson Griffin
Elo1362
Takanori Gomi

Tyson GriffinvsTakanori GomiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · Sunday, August 1, 2010San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Takanori Gomi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:04

Style matchupTyson Griffin: Elusive strikervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Tyson Griffin wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Takanori Gomi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tyson Griffin at -320 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Takanori Gomi is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Tyson Griffin has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Takanori Gomi
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
1490
Elo
1362
42
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson Griffin
oldest →
L
vs Evan Dunham · Jun 10
L
vs Nik Lentz · Nov 10
W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jun 11
L
KOvs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 11
latest
Takanori GomiL5 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14
L
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15
L
KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17
L
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson GriffinMetricTakanori Gomi
3.71
Strikes / min
3.81
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
65%
Strike defense
60%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
1.23
59%
Takedown defense
63%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes50.5 vs 20.0Takedowns1.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Tyson GriffinTakanori Gomi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +128.3|Blue -128.3
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -73.0|Blue +73.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson GriffinTargetTakanori Gomi

By target zone

2
15% acc · 67%
Head
3
25% acc · 60%
0
Body
2
67% acc · 40%
1
100% acc · 33%
Leg
0

By position

3
21% acc · 100%
Distance
3
23% acc · 60%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
2
100% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Tyson Griffin rounds
0
even
1
Takanori Gomi rounds
Round 1Takanori Gomi edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 14
Sig Strikes
5 / 15
21%
Sig Str %
33%
3 / 14
Total Strikes
5 / 15
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Takanori Gomi5 / 155 / 150 / 00
1Tyson Griffin3 / 143 / 140 / 00

Tyson Griffin

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13