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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Tyson Griffin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1358

Tyson GriffinvsManvel GamburyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · Sunday, June 26, 2011Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Tyson Griffin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTyson Griffin: Elusive strikervsManvel Gamburyan: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Manvel Gamburyan wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Tyson Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manvel Gamburyan at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tyson Griffin enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tyson Griffin has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Griffin

Red Corner

Manvel Gamburyan

Blue Corner

-255

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1490

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson GriffinL4 streak

oldest →

vs Evan Dunham · Jun 10

KOvs Takanori Gomi · Aug 10

vs Nik Lentz · Nov 10

KOvs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 11

latest

Manvel GamburyanL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nik Lentz · May 14

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14

vs Scott Jorgensen · Jul 15

KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16

KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson GriffinMetricManvel Gamburyan

3.71

Strikes / min

2.13

2.30

Strikes absorbed / min

2.83

65%

Strike defense

55%

1.87

TDs / 15 min

3.26

59%

Takedown defense

69%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.41Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tyson GriffinManvel Gamburyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.7|Blue -131.7

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -46.9|Blue +46.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson GriffinTargetManvel Gamburyan

By target zone

29% acc · 33%

Head

31% acc · 53%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 25%

85% acc · 42%

Leg

88% acc · 22%

By position

44% acc · 64%

Distance

36% acc · 66%

95% acc · 31%

Clinch

90% acc · 28%

60% acc · 4%

Ground

67% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tyson Griffin rounds

even

Manvel Gamburyan rounds

Round 1Manvel Gamburyan edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:48

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:30Control

Round 2Tyson Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:02

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Tyson Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control1:58

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 125

Sig Strikes

32 / 71

54.3%

Sig Str %

48%

100 / 163

Total Strikes

42 / 84

0 / 3

TDs

2 / 12

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:48

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Manvel Gamburyan	14 / 18	23 / 29	2 / 4
1	Tyson Griffin	15 / 27	25 / 40	0 / 1
2	Manvel Gamburyan	13 / 38	13 / 38	0 / 1
2	Tyson Griffin	26 / 57	26 / 57	0 / 0
3	Manvel Gamburyan	5 / 15	6 / 17	0 / 7
3	Tyson Griffin	26 / 41	49 / 66	0 / 2

Tyson Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Manvel Gamburyan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9