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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tyron Woodley won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1398
Tyron Woodley
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim

Tyron WoodleyvsDong Hyun KimUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Tyron Woodley won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Tyron Woodley is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Dong Hyun Kim has lost 75% of fights by KO.
  • Tyron Woodley has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tyron Woodley
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Kim
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1398
Elo
1491
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18
L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19
L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20
L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20
L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21
latest
Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
W
KOvs John Hathaway · Mar 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyron WoodleyMetricDong Hyun Kim
2.36
Strikes / min
2.12
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
1.89
54%
Strike defense
58%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
2.93
87%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1585Strikes27.4 vs 25.5Takedowns0.6 vs 2.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.54Form0.1 vs 0.9
Tyron WoodleyDong Hyun Kim

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -93.0|Blue +93.0
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyron WoodleyTargetDong Hyun Kim

By target zone

8
80% acc · 62%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 8%
Body
2
100% acc · 100%
4
100% acc · 31%
Leg
0

By position

1
50% acc · 8%
Distance
0
0% acc
6
100% acc · 46%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 100%
6
86% acc · 46%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tyron Woodley rounds
0
even
0
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
Round 1Tyron Woodley edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:50
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
13 / 15
Sig Strikes
2 / 4
86%
Sig Str %
50%
13 / 15
Total Strikes
19 / 21
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:50
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dong Hyun Kim2 / 419 / 210 / 00
1Tyron Woodley13 / 1513 / 150 / 00

Tyron Woodley

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14