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Welterweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Tyron Woodley won · U-DEC R5

Elo1398

Elo1402

Tyron WoodleyvsDemian MaiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2017Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Tyron Woodley won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Demian Maia at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tyron Woodley has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tyron Woodley

Red Corner

Demian Maia

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1398

Elo

1402

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyron WoodleyL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18

vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19

vs Gilbert Burns · May 20

KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20

SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21

latest

Demian MaiaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19

DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19

SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20

vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyron WoodleyMetricDemian Maia

2.36

Strikes / min

1.80

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

54%

Strike defense

63%

1.06

TDs / 15 min

2.49

87%

Takedown defense

61%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tyron WoodleyDemian Maia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.6|Blue +4.6

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyron WoodleyTargetDemian Maia

By target zone

31% acc · 70%

Head

28% acc · 82%

72% acc · 23%

Body

67% acc · 7%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

37% acc · 98%

Distance

30% acc · 93%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tyron Woodley rounds

even

Demian Maia rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 2Tyron Woodley edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Tyron Woodley edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Tyron Woodley edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:01

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 5Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:01

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 153

Sig Strikes

28 / 89

37.2%

Sig Str %

34.2%

57 / 153

Total Strikes

29 / 90

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 21

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Demian Maia	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 6
1	Tyron Woodley	6 / 18	6 / 18	0 / 0
2	Demian Maia	4 / 14	4 / 14	0 / 3
2	Tyron Woodley	14 / 29	14 / 29	0 / 0
3	Demian Maia	8 / 24	8 / 24	0 / 2
3	Tyron Woodley	12 / 41	12 / 41	0 / 0
4	Tyron Woodley	15 / 39	15 / 39	0 / 0
4	Demian Maia	5 / 25	5 / 25	0 / 3
5	Demian Maia	8 / 20	9 / 21	0 / 7
5	Tyron Woodley	10 / 26	10 / 26	0 / 0

Tyron Woodley

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights15

Demian Maia

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights26