Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Saidyokub Kakhramonov won · SUB R3

Elo1450

Elo1497

Trevin JonesvsSaidyokub KakhramonovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Saidyokub Kakhramonov won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:39

Model Prediction: Saidyokub Kakhramonov wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Saidyokub Kakhramonov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Saidyokub Kakhramonov at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Jones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Saidyokub Kakhramonov has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Saidyokub Kakhramonov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Trevin Jones (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Jones

Red Corner

Saidyokub Kakhramonov

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1450

Elo

1497

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin JonesL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Timur Valiev · Aug 20

KOvs Mario Bautista · Mar 21

vs Javid Basharat · Mar 22

vs Raoni Barcelos · Oct 22

vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 23

latest

Saidyokub Kakhramonov

oldest →

vs Ronnie Lawrence · Jul 22

SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin JonesMetricSaidyokub Kakhramonov

2.13

Strikes / min

2.05

4.29

Strikes absorbed / min

0.88

39%

Strike defense

58%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

6.63

60%

Takedown defense

83%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.16Δ 3.33 — meaningful gap+1.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin JonesSaidyokub Kakhramonov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Jones(6 fights)Saidyokub Kakhramonov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -46.2|Blue +46.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin JonesTargetSaidyokub Kakhramonov

By target zone

26% acc · 50%

Head

44% acc · 58%

71% acc · 42%

Body

91% acc · 28%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

83% acc · 14%

By position

24% acc · 42%

Distance

46% acc · 58%

100% acc · 42%

Clinch

79% acc · 42%

40% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Jones rounds

even

Saidyokub Kakhramonov rounds

Round 1Trevin Jones edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control3:37

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Saidyokub Kakhramonov edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:44

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Saidyokub Kakhramonov edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control2:38

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 31

Sig Strikes

36 / 65

23.7%

Sig Str %

47.7%

70 / 112

Total Strikes

123 / 163

1 / 8

TDs

2 / 7

8.3%

TD %

29%

Sub Att

Rev

8:59

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	1 / 3	34 / 41	1 / 4	2
1	Trevin Jones	0 / 1	25 / 35	0 / 1	0
2	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	28 / 49	51 / 77	0 / 0	0
2	Trevin Jones	10 / 23	35 / 55	1 / 4	0
3	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	7 / 13	38 / 45	1 / 3	2
3	Trevin Jones	2 / 7	10 / 22	0 / 3	0

Trevin Jones

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Saidyokub Kakhramonov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3