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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Javid Basharat won · U-DEC R3

Elo1450

Elo1503

Trevin JonesvsJavid BasharatUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Javid Basharat won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Javid Basharat wins(71.7%)

Actual result: Javid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Javid Basharat at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Jones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Trevin Jones is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Javid Basharat has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Javid Basharat has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Javid Basharat has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Trevin Jones (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Jones

Red Corner

Javid Basharat

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1450

Elo

1503

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin JonesL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Timur Valiev · Aug 20

KOvs Mario Bautista · Mar 21

SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Aug 21

vs Raoni Barcelos · Oct 22

vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 23

latest

Javid Basharat

oldest →

vs Tony Gravely · Sep 22

vs Mateus Mendonca · Jan 23

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Mar 24

KOvs Ricky Simon · Feb 25

vs Gianni Vazquez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin JonesMetricJavid Basharat

2.13

Strikes / min

5.18

4.29

Strikes absorbed / min

2.75

39%

Strike defense

63%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

1.83

60%

Takedown defense

83%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.16Δ 4.59 — meaningful gap+2.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin JonesJavid Basharat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Jones(6 fights)Javid Basharat(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -52.8|Blue +52.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin JonesTargetJavid Basharat

By target zone

23% acc · 53%

Head

44% acc · 58%

70% acc · 26%

Body

75% acc · 24%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

94% acc · 18%

By position

34% acc · 98%

Distance

51% acc · 89%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Jones rounds

even

Javid Basharat rounds

Round 1Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:03

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 178

Sig Strikes

89 / 164

34.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

62 / 178

Total Strikes

89 / 164

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Javid Basharat	31 / 57	31 / 57	0 / 0
1	Trevin Jones	18 / 47	18 / 47	0 / 2
2	Javid Basharat	27 / 44	27 / 44	0 / 0
2	Trevin Jones	20 / 59	20 / 59	0 / 1
3	Javid Basharat	31 / 63	31 / 63	0 / 0
3	Trevin Jones	24 / 72	24 / 72	0 / 0

Trevin Jones

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Javid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6