← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Trevin Giles won · U-DEC

Elo1490

Elo1497

Trevin GilesvsRoman DolidzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · Saturday, March 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Trevin Giles won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Trevin Giles wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Trevin Giles wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Trevin Giles at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Trevin Giles has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Trevin Giles has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Giles

Red Corner

Roman Dolidze

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1490

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

Roman DolidzeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24

KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24

vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin GilesMetricRoman Dolidze

3.17

Strikes / min

3.19

2.39

Strikes absorbed / min

3.71

58%

Strike defense

48%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

1.16

72%

Takedown defense

32%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin GilesRoman Dolidze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Giles(10 fights)Roman Dolidze(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.9|Blue +7.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin GilesTargetRoman Dolidze

By target zone

43% acc · 81%

Head

27% acc · 31%

100% acc · 15%

Body

50% acc · 22%

50% acc · 4%

Leg

94% acc · 47%

By position

36% acc · 56%

Distance

47% acc · 88%

80% acc · 15%

Clinch

50% acc · 9%

80% acc · 30%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Giles rounds

even

Roman Dolidze rounds

Round 1Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:31

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:44

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 57

Sig Strikes

32 / 67

42.7%

Sig Str %

47%

43 / 73

Total Strikes

75 / 110

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:15

Ctrl Time

4:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Roman Dolidze	14 / 25	32 / 43	1 / 1	0
1	Trevin Giles	4 / 15	14 / 25	0 / 0	0
2	Roman Dolidze	10 / 23	24 / 37	0 / 0	1
2	Trevin Giles	17 / 27	23 / 33	0 / 0	0
3	Roman Dolidze	8 / 19	19 / 30	0 / 2	1
3	Trevin Giles	6 / 15	6 / 15	1 / 2	1

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14