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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Trevin Giles won · S-DEC R3
Elo1490
Trevin Giles
Elo1490

Trevin GilesvsPreston ParsonsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, March 25, 2023San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Trevin Giles won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTrevin Giles: Well-roundedvsPreston Parsons: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Preston Parsons wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Trevin Giles wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Preston Parsons at -120 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Giles
Red Corner
VS
Preston Parsons
Blue Corner
+102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1490
Elo
1490
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin GilesL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Jan 22
W
vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22
L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24
L
vs Mike Malott · Nov 24
latest
Preston ParsonsL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 21
W
vs Evan Elder · Apr 22
W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Jan 24
L
vs Oban Elliott · Jul 24
L
KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin GilesMetricPreston Parsons
3.17
Strikes / min
3.54
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
3.46
72%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1504Strikes3.3 vs 3.5Takedowns1.2 vs 3.5Sub Atts0.30 vs 2.40Form0.3 vs 0.4
Trevin GilesPreston Parsons

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Trevin Giles(10 fights)Preston Parsons(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin GilesTargetPreston Parsons

By target zone

51
50% acc · 93%
Head
24
31% acc · 57%
4
67% acc · 7%
Body
6
100% acc · 14%
0
Leg
12
100% acc · 29%

By position

34
41% acc · 62%
Distance
34
40% acc · 81%
7
78% acc · 13%
Clinch
7
70% acc · 17%
14
88% acc · 25%
Ground
1
100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Trevin Giles rounds
3
even
0
Preston Parsons rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:26
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:52Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:23
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:25
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:54Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
55 / 108
Sig Strikes
42 / 95
50.7%
Sig Str %
44%
71 / 129
Total Strikes
62 / 130
0 / 1
TDs
3 / 11
0%
TD %
28.7%
0
Sub Att
3
2
Rev
1
4:14
Ctrl Time
5:16

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Preston Parsons14 / 2823 / 430 / 32
1Trevin Giles14 / 2617 / 290 / 10
2Preston Parsons13 / 3218 / 401 / 50
2Trevin Giles18 / 4029 / 530 / 00
3Preston Parsons15 / 3521 / 472 / 31
3Trevin Giles23 / 4225 / 470 / 00

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14

Preston Parsons

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6