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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Trevin Giles won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1435

Trevin GilesvsLouis CosceUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Trevin Giles won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTrevin Giles: Well-roundedvsLouis Cosce: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Trevin Giles wins(71.1%)

Actual result: Trevin Giles wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Trevin Giles at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Trevin Giles has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Trevin Giles has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Giles

Red Corner

Louis Cosce

Blue Corner

-205

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1490

Elo

1435

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michael Morales · Jan 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

Louis Cosce

oldest →

KOvs Sasha Palatnikov · Nov 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin GilesMetricLouis Cosce

3.17

Strikes / min

4.31

2.39

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

58%

Strike defense

47%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

1.04

72%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin GilesLouis Cosce

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Giles(10 fights)Louis Cosce(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.1|Blue -54.1

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -427.0|Blue +427.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin GilesTargetLouis Cosce

By target zone

34% acc · 40%

Head

17% acc · 50%

50% acc · 8%

Body

60% acc · 30%

100% acc · 52%

Leg

50% acc · 20%

By position

56% acc · 100%

Distance

24% acc · 90%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Giles rounds

even

Louis Cosce rounds

Round 1Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Louis Cosce edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns2

Control1:09

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 46

Sig Strikes

10 / 38

37%

Sig Str %

28.3%

45 / 66

Total Strikes

21 / 49

2 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:09

Ctrl Time

3:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Louis Cosce	2 / 18	2 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Trevin Giles	13 / 21	13 / 21	0 / 0	0
2	Louis Cosce	7 / 17	7 / 17	0 / 0	0
2	Trevin Giles	12 / 24	18 / 30	0 / 3	0
3	Louis Cosce	1 / 3	12 / 14	1 / 1	1
3	Trevin Giles	0 / 1	14 / 15	2 / 2	0

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Louis Cosce

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2