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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Trevin Giles won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1493

Trevin GilesvsJames KrauseUFC Prediction Result

UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Saturday, February 8, 2020Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Trevin Giles won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTrevin Giles: Well-roundedvsJames Krause: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: James Krause wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Trevin Giles wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Krause at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
James Krause enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Giles

Red Corner

James Krause

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1490

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

James KrauseW5 streak

oldest →

vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17

vs Alex White · Jan 18

KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18

KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19

vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin GilesMetricJames Krause

3.17

Strikes / min

4.79

2.39

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

58%

Strike defense

61%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

0.96

72%

Takedown defense

59%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin GilesJames Krause

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Giles(10 fights)James Krause(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.4|Blue +3.4

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin GilesTargetJames Krause

By target zone

45% acc · 89%

Head

37% acc · 41%

86% acc · 8%

Body

67% acc · 18%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

95% acc · 41%

By position

39% acc · 51%

Distance

53% acc · 89%

44% acc · 10%

Clinch

83% acc · 11%

70% acc · 39%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Giles rounds

even

James Krause rounds

Round 1James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:43

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:23Control

Round 2Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control2:22

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 3James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:34

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 148

Sig Strikes

44 / 80

45.3%

Sig Str %

66.3%

88 / 167

Total Strikes

59 / 98

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:39

Ctrl Time

3:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	James Krause	5 / 5	15 / 16	1 / 1	3
1	Trevin Giles	8 / 20	12 / 25	0 / 0	0
2	James Krause	10 / 22	11 / 25	0 / 1	1
2	Trevin Giles	41 / 77	49 / 85	0 / 0	1
3	James Krause	29 / 53	33 / 57	0 / 2	0
3	Trevin Giles	22 / 51	27 / 57	0 / 0	0

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

James Krause

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13