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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dricus Du Plessis won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1542

Dricus Du Plessis editorial illustration

Trevin GilesvsDricus Du PlessisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Saturday, July 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dricus Du Plessis won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:41

Style matchupTrevin Giles: Well-roundedvsDricus Du Plessis: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Trevin Giles wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Dricus Du Plessis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Trevin Giles at -106 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Trevin Giles has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dricus Du Plessis (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Trevin Giles

Red Corner

Dricus Du Plessis

Blue Corner

-106

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

1490

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

Dricus Du Plessis

oldest →

vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24

SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24

vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25

vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25

DECvs Kamaru Usman · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Trevin GilesMetricDricus Du Plessis

3.17

Strikes / min

5.18

2.39

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

58%

Strike defense

52%

1.07

TDs / 15 min

2.22

72%

Takedown defense

34%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Trevin GilesDricus Du Plessis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Trevin Giles(10 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -52.4|Blue +52.4

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Trevin GilesTargetDricus Du Plessis

By target zone

23% acc · 60%

Head

30% acc · 28%

60% acc · 30%

Body

70% acc · 28%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

73% acc · 44%

By position

27% acc · 80%

Distance

51% acc · 88%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

Ground

60% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Trevin Giles rounds

even

Dricus Du Plessis rounds

Round 1Dricus Du Plessis edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:12

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 2Dricus Du Plessis edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 32

Sig Strikes

25 / 48

31.5%

Sig Str %

52.5%

10 / 32

Total Strikes

26 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dricus Du Plessis	14 / 29	15 / 30	2 / 3
1	Trevin Giles	6 / 20	6 / 20	0 / 0
2	Dricus Du Plessis	11 / 19	11 / 19	0 / 1
2	Trevin Giles	4 / 12	4 / 12	0 / 0

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Dricus Du Plessis

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights11