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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Battle won · U-DEC R3
Elo1506
Tresean Gore editorial illustration
Elo1523

Tresean GorevsBryan BattleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTresean Gore: Submission grapplervsBryan Battle: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Battle at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bryan Battle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Tresean Gore has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Tresean Gore
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Battle
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1506
Elo
1523
32
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tresean Gore
oldest →
W
SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24
L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25
L
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26
latest
Bryan BattleW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22
W
KOvs Gabe Green · May 23
W
SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23
W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24
W
vs Randy Brown · Dec 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tresean GoreMetricBryan Battle
3.41
Strikes / min
5.12
7.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
40%
Strike defense
44%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
0.77
83%
Takedown defense
53%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.59Δ 4.60 — meaningful gap+1.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1519Strikes3.0 vs 4.5Takedowns3.0 vs 1.1Sub Atts1.20 vs 0.60Form0.0 vs 1.0
Tresean GoreBryan Battle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Tresean Gore(7 fights)Bryan Battle(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -16.9|Blue +16.9
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Grappler Score
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tresean GoreTargetBryan Battle

By target zone

31
46% acc · 54%
Head
49
42% acc · 44%
15
88% acc · 26%
Body
46
78% acc · 41%
11
100% acc · 19%
Leg
17
100% acc · 15%

By position

42
53% acc · 74%
Distance
105
57% acc · 94%
11
92% acc · 19%
Clinch
7
88% acc · 6%
4
100% acc · 7%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Tresean Gore rounds
0
even
3
Bryan Battle rounds
Round 1Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
50Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:51
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:27Control
Round 3Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:25
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:53Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
57 / 95
Sig Strikes
112 / 193
58.7%
Sig Str %
57%
86 / 126
Total Strikes
119 / 203
2 / 3
TDs
1 / 8
75%
TD %
10%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:16
Ctrl Time
3:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bryan Battle50 / 7950 / 790 / 00
1Tresean Gore15 / 2615 / 260 / 00
2Bryan Battle29 / 5130 / 521 / 50
2Tresean Gore27 / 3949 / 631 / 11
3Bryan Battle33 / 6339 / 720 / 30
3Tresean Gore15 / 3022 / 371 / 20

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8