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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tresean Gore won · SUB R1
Elo1506
Tresean Gore editorial illustration
Elo1429

Tresean GorevsAntonio TrocoliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Saturday, November 9, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tresean Gore won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:23

Model Prediction: Tresean Gore wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Tresean Gore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Antonio Trocoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Tresean Gore threatens submissions; Antonio Trocoli has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Tresean Gore has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tresean Gore has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).
  • Antonio Trocoli has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tresean Gore
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Trocoli
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1506
Elo
1429
32
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'5"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tresean Gore
oldest →
L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22
L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25
L
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26
latest
Antonio TrocoliL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Dec 25
L
vs Mantas Kondratavicius · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tresean GoreMetricAntonio Trocoli
3.41
Strikes / min
1.27
7.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.30
40%
Strike defense
26%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
0.88
83%
Takedown defense
42%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.59evenly matched on net striking-4.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1483Strikes3.0 vs 1.3Takedowns3.5 vs 0.8Sub Atts1.70 vs 0.80Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Tresean GoreAntonio Trocoli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14101438146514931520← oldermost recent →
Tresean Gore(7 fights)Antonio Trocoli(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +77.3|Blue -77.3
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +602.0|Blue -602.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tresean GoreTargetAntonio Trocoli

By target zone

0
Head
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 67%
Body
1
50% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 33%
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

1
100% acc · 33%
Distance
2
50% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 67%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tresean Gore rounds
0
even
0
Antonio Trocoli rounds
Round 1Tresean Gore edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:45
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 3
Sig Strikes
2 / 5
100%
Sig Str %
40%
5 / 5
Total Strikes
2 / 5
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:45
Ctrl Time
0:13

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Antonio Trocoli2 / 52 / 50 / 10
1Tresean Gore3 / 35 / 51 / 11

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8

Antonio Trocoli

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights4