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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Travis Browne won · U-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1351

Travis BrownevsRob BroughtonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · Saturday, September 24, 2011Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Travis Browne won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rob Broughton wins(66.5%)

Actual result: Travis Browne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Broughton at +375 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Travis Browne has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Travis Browne has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Travis Browne

Red Corner

Rob Broughton

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+375

(21%)

1361

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Travis BrowneL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16

KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16

vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17

latest

Rob Broughton

oldest →

SUBvs Vinicius Queiroz · Oct 10

vs Philip De Fries · Nov 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Travis BrowneMetricRob Broughton

2.93

Strikes / min

2.83

4.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.54

42%

Strike defense

51%

1.21

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

26%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

3.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.38Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Travis BrowneRob Broughton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Travis Browne(10 fights)Rob Broughton(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.8|Blue -9.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Travis BrowneTargetRob Broughton

By target zone

34% acc · 53%

Head

28% acc · 55%

75% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 9%

95% acc · 40%

Leg

67% acc · 36%

By position

40% acc · 56%

Distance

33% acc · 77%

80% acc · 18%

Clinch

83% acc · 23%

60% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Travis Browne rounds

even

Rob Broughton rounds

Round 1Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:11

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:50

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:47

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 93

Sig Strikes

22 / 57

49.7%

Sig Str %

40.7%

57 / 106

Total Strikes

65 / 102

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:48

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rob Broughton	14 / 32	25 / 44	0 / 0	0
1	Travis Browne	20 / 44	27 / 51	1 / 1	0
2	Rob Broughton	4 / 18	13 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Travis Browne	19 / 38	22 / 41	1 / 1	0
3	Rob Broughton	4 / 7	27 / 31	0 / 0	1
3	Travis Browne	6 / 11	8 / 14	1 / 1	0

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights16

Rob Broughton

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3