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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Travis Browne won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1361

Elo1490

Travis BrownevsGabriel GonzagaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Travis Browne won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:11

Style matchupTravis Browne: Well-roundedvsGabriel Gonzaga: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Travis Browne wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Travis Browne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Travis Browne at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Gabriel Gonzaga has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Travis Browne

Red Corner

Gabriel Gonzaga

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1361

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Travis BrowneL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16

KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16

vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17

latest

Gabriel Gonzaga

oldest →

vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14

KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15

vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Travis BrowneMetricGabriel Gonzaga

2.93

Strikes / min

2.12

4.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.94

42%

Strike defense

57%

1.21

TDs / 15 min

2.80

75%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.38evenly matched on net striking-0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Travis BrowneGabriel Gonzaga

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Travis Browne(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -129.5|Blue +129.5

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +106.0|Blue -106.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Travis BrowneTargetGabriel Gonzaga

By target zone

88% acc · 78%

Head

100% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 100%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 100%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Travis Browne rounds

even

Gabriel Gonzaga rounds

Round 1Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 10

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

90%

Sig Str %

100%

11 / 12

Total Strikes

3 / 3

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gabriel Gonzaga	1 / 1	3 / 3	0 / 2	0
1	Travis Browne	9 / 10	11 / 12	0 / 0	0

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights16

Gabriel Gonzaga

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12