← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Antonio Silva won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1361

Elo1358

Travis BrownevsAntonio SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · Friday, October 5, 2012Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Antonio Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:27

Style matchupTravis Browne: Well-roundedvsAntonio Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Travis Browne wins(78.7%)

Actual result: Antonio Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Travis Browne at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Antonio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Travis Browne

Red Corner

Antonio Silva

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1361

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'4"

200.66 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Travis BrowneL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16

KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16

vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17

latest

Antonio SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Frank Mir · Feb 15

KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Nov 15

KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16

KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Travis BrowneMetricAntonio Silva

2.93

Strikes / min

2.89

4.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.09

42%

Strike defense

50%

1.21

TDs / 15 min

0.82

75%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.38Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Travis BrowneAntonio Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Travis Browne(10 fights)Antonio Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.0|Blue -3.0

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Travis BrowneTargetAntonio Silva

By target zone

15% acc · 25%

Head

62% acc · 53%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 7%

100% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 40%

By position

38% acc · 75%

Distance

64% acc · 47%

67% acc · 25%

Clinch

100% acc · 27%

Ground

80% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Travis Browne rounds

even

Antonio Silva rounds

Round 1Antonio Silva edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 19

Sig Strikes

15 / 20

42%

Sig Str %

75%

8 / 19

Total Strikes

23 / 28

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Antonio Silva	15 / 20	23 / 28	0 / 2	0
1	Travis Browne	8 / 19	8 / 19	0 / 0	0

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights16

Antonio Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights10