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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Wang Cong won · Decision R3

Elo1484

Elo1562

Tracy CortezvsWang CongUFC Prediction Result

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Wang Cong won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Tracy Cortez

Style matchupTracy Cortez: WrestlervsWang Cong: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Tracy Cortez wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Wang Cong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wang Cong enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Wang Cong has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Tracy Cortez

Red Corner

Wang Cong

Blue Corner

-1

(1%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

1484

Elo

1562

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tracy Cortez

oldest →

vs Melissa Gatto · May 22

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Jul 24

vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 25

latest

Wang CongW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriella Fernandes · Nov 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 25

vs Ariane da Silva · Jun 25

vs Eduarda Moura · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tracy CortezMetricWang Cong

3.86

Strikes / min

6.22

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.19

57%

Strike defense

63%

2.15

TDs / 15 min

0.78

59%

Takedown defense

84%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 3.18 — meaningful gap+4.03

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tracy Cortez(9 fights)Wang Cong(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -78.7|Blue +78.7

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tracy CortezTargetWang Cong

By target zone

38% acc · 67%

Head

55% acc · 56%

71% acc · 17%

Body

85% acc · 20%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

76% acc · 23%

By position

44% acc · 92%

Distance

126

63% acc · 92%

86% acc · 8%

Clinch

75% acc · 4%

Ground

63% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tracy Cortez rounds

even

Wang Cong rounds

Round 1Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:13

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 2Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

52Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 3Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:18

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 156

Sig Strikes

137 / 215

45.7%

Sig Str %

63.7%

74 / 158

Total Strikes

153 / 231

1 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

8.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

1:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Wang Cong	41 / 63	49 / 71	0 / 0
1	Tracy Cortez	21 / 44	21 / 44	1 / 4
2	Wang Cong	52 / 85	55 / 88	0 / 0
2	Tracy Cortez	27 / 56	29 / 58	0 / 2
3	Wang Cong	44 / 67	49 / 72	0 / 0
3	Tracy Cortez	24 / 56	24 / 56	0 / 3

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 52% (research) · vufc_v5_pure_lightgbm_20260712_125850

🔒 Pick locked Jul 12, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC at -1 · never rewritten

Tracy Cortez

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Wang Cong

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6