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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Tracy Cortez won · U-DEC

Elo1484

Elo1490

Tracy CortezvsStephanie EggerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, October 10, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Tracy Cortez won

U-DEC

Style matchupTracy Cortez: WrestlervsStephanie Egger: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Tracy Cortez wins(87.4%)

Actual result: Tracy Cortez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tracy Cortez at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stephanie Egger threatens submissions; Tracy Cortez has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Tracy Cortez

Red Corner

Stephanie Egger

Blue Corner

-205

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1484

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tracy CortezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Jul 24

vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 25

DECvs Wang Cong · Jul 26

latest

Stephanie EggerL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Feb 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Aug 22

SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 22

SUBvs Irina Alekseeva · Apr 23

vs Luana Santos · Dec 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tracy CortezMetricStephanie Egger

3.86

Strikes / min

2.20

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

57%

Strike defense

52%

2.15

TDs / 15 min

2.48

59%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tracy CortezStephanie Egger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tracy Cortez(9 fights)Stephanie Egger(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.5|Blue +6.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tracy CortezTargetStephanie Egger

By target zone

39% acc · 55%

Head

25% acc · 60%

50% acc · 15%

Body

0% acc

75% acc · 30%

Leg

67% acc · 40%

By position

38% acc · 45%

Distance

28% acc · 80%

0% acc

Clinch

67% acc · 20%

69% acc · 55%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tracy Cortez rounds

even

Stephanie Egger rounds

Round 1Tracy Cortez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control2:43

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Round 2Tracy Cortez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control4:16

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Tracy Cortez edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:59

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 42

Sig Strikes

10 / 32

47%

Sig Str %

29%

66 / 109

Total Strikes

27 / 70

3 / 5

TDs

1 / 6

66.7%

TD %

10%

Sub Att

Rev

9:58

Ctrl Time

2:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Stephanie Egger	6 / 16	12 / 32	0 / 1
1	Tracy Cortez	6 / 14	13 / 22	1 / 2
2	Stephanie Egger	2 / 9	7 / 19	0 / 0
2	Tracy Cortez	6 / 13	31 / 51	1 / 1
3	Stephanie Egger	2 / 7	8 / 19	1 / 5
3	Tracy Cortez	8 / 15	22 / 36	1 / 2

Tracy Cortez

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Stephanie Egger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7