Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Toshiomi Kazama won · SUB R2

Elo1486

Elo1488

Toshiomi KazamavsCharalampos GrigoriouUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Toshiomi Kazama won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:55

Style matchupToshiomi Kazama: Submission grapplervsCharalampos Grigoriou: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Charalampos Grigoriou wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Toshiomi Kazama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Toshiomi Kazama enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Toshiomi Kazama threatens submissions; Charalampos Grigoriou has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Charalampos Grigoriou has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Toshiomi Kazama

Red Corner

Charalampos Grigoriou

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1486

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Toshiomi KazamaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rinya Nakamura · Feb 23

KOvs Garrett Armfield · Aug 23

KOvs Elijah Smith · Aug 25

latest

Charalampos Grigoriou

oldest →

vs Chad Anheliger · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Toshiomi KazamaMetricCharalampos Grigoriou

1.49

Strikes / min

2.62

4.56

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

38%

Strike defense

46%

1.94

TDs / 15 min

2.62

66%

Takedown defense

90%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.07Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Toshiomi KazamaCharalampos Grigoriou

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Toshiomi Kazama(4 fights)Charalampos Grigoriou(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +203.0|Blue -203.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Toshiomi KazamaTargetCharalampos Grigoriou

By target zone

50% acc · 100%

Head

68% acc · 88%

0% acc

Body

75% acc · 12%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

41% acc · 27%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 100%

Ground

90% acc · 69%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Toshiomi Kazama rounds

even

Charalampos Grigoriou rounds

Round 1Toshiomi Kazama edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control4:09

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 2Charalampos Grigoriou edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:26Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 5

Sig Strikes

26 / 38

25%

Sig Str %

60%

67 / 84

Total Strikes

36 / 48

1 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:19

Ctrl Time

2:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charalampos Grigoriou	2 / 4	7 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Toshiomi Kazama	2 / 4	31 / 46	1 / 8	0
2	Charalampos Grigoriou	24 / 34	29 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Toshiomi Kazama	0 / 1	36 / 38	0 / 1	1

Toshiomi Kazama

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Charalampos Grigoriou

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights2