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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Lina Lansberg won · U-DEC R3

Elo1373

Elo1449

Tonya EvingervsLina LansbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Lina Lansberg won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Lina Lansberg wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Lina Lansberg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lina Lansberg at +325 American odds

+$325 profit

$425 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lina Lansberg enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tonya Evinger has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tonya Evinger

Red Corner

Lina Lansberg

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1373

Elo

1449

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tonya EvingerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Cris Cyborg · Jul 17

KOvs Aspen Ladd · Oct 18

latest

Lina LansbergL4 streak

oldest →

vs Macy Chiasson · Sep 19

vs Sara McMann · Jan 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tonya EvingerMetricLina Lansberg

1.16

Strikes / min

2.69

4.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.87

38%

Strike defense

44%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

0.52

33%

Takedown defense

47%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.86Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tonya EvingerLina Lansberg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tonya Evinger(3 fights)Lina Lansberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -76.1|Blue +76.1

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tonya EvingerTargetLina Lansberg

By target zone

29% acc · 33%

Head

73% acc · 90%

100% acc · 67%

Body

83% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

44% acc · 67%

Distance

25% acc · 2%

100% acc · 17%

Clinch

70% acc · 14%

100% acc · 17%

Ground

78% acc · 84%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tonya Evinger rounds

even

Lina Lansberg rounds

Round 1Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control3:38

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 2Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:08

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:32Control

Round 3Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:33Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 11

Sig Strikes

50 / 68

66.7%

Sig Str %

71%

68 / 83

Total Strikes

151 / 181

1 / 4

TDs

1 / 2

33.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:46

Ctrl Time

8:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lina Lansberg	13 / 15	51 / 54	1 / 1
1	Tonya Evinger	2 / 5	6 / 11	0 / 2
2	Lina Lansberg	8 / 17	21 / 37	0 / 0
2	Tonya Evinger	3 / 5	16 / 24	1 / 1
3	Lina Lansberg	29 / 36	79 / 90	0 / 1
3	Tonya Evinger	1 / 1	46 / 48	0 / 1

Tonya Evinger

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3

Lina Lansberg

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights11