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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cody Stamann won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1488

Tom DuquesnoyvsCody StamannUFC Prediction Result

UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · Saturday, October 7, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Stamann won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTom Duquesnoy: StrikervsCody Stamann: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(78.7%)

Actual result: Cody Stamann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at +140 American odds

+$140 profit

$240 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cody Stamann has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tom Duquesnoy has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tom Duquesnoy

Red Corner

Cody Stamann

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1491

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tom DuquesnoyW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Patrick Williams · Apr 17

vs Terrion Ware · Mar 18

latest

Cody StamannL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tom DuquesnoyMetricCody Stamann

3.83

Strikes / min

4.32

5.30

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

62%

Strike defense

60%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

2.17

46%

Takedown defense

76%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.47Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tom DuquesnoyCody Stamann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tom Duquesnoy(3 fights)Cody Stamann(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.9|Blue -2.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tom DuquesnoyTargetCody Stamann

By target zone

27% acc · 67%

Head

28% acc · 50%

62% acc · 24%

Body

68% acc · 29%

75% acc · 9%

Leg

64% acc · 21%

By position

33% acc · 94%

Distance

35% acc · 80%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

62% acc · 12%

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tom Duquesnoy rounds

even

Cody Stamann rounds

Round 1Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:01

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:01

26Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:06Control

Round 3Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:15

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 98

Sig Strikes

66 / 168

33%

Sig Str %

40.3%

76 / 145

Total Strikes

81 / 185

1 / 1

TDs

4 / 5

100%

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

2:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cody Stamann	21 / 65	22 / 66	2 / 3
1	Tom Duquesnoy	18 / 52	28 / 62	0 / 0
2	Cody Stamann	26 / 45	40 / 61	2 / 2
2	Tom Duquesnoy	8 / 25	41 / 62	0 / 0
3	Cody Stamann	19 / 58	19 / 58	0 / 0
3	Tom Duquesnoy	7 / 21	7 / 21	1 / 1

Tom Duquesnoy

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14