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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Perosh won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1356

Tom BlackledgevsAnthony PeroshUFC Prediction Result

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Saturday, February 26, 2011Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Anthony Perosh won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:45

Model Prediction: Anthony Perosh wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Anthony Perosh wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Perosh at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tom Blackledge has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Tom Blackledge

Red Corner

Anthony Perosh

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1490

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

196 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tom BlackledgeNo prior UFC fights on record.

Anthony PeroshL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Vinny Magalhaes · Aug 13

vs Ryan Bader · Dec 13

SUBvs Guto Inocente · Nov 14

KOvs Sean O'Connell · May 15

KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tom BlackledgeMetricAnthony Perosh

2.91

Strikes / min

2.27

2.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.77

46%

Strike defense

53%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.03

75%

Takedown defense

33%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.36Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tom BlackledgeAnthony Perosh

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tom Blackledge(1 fights)Anthony Perosh(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.5|Blue -134.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tom BlackledgeTargetAnthony Perosh

By target zone

55% acc · 75%

Head

54% acc · 100%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

44% acc · 50%

Distance

50% acc · 43%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

57% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tom Blackledge rounds

even

Anthony Perosh rounds

Round 1Anthony Perosh edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:09

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 13

Sig Strikes

7 / 13

61%

Sig Str %

53%

8 / 13

Total Strikes

11 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

1:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Perosh	7 / 13	11 / 18	1 / 4	1
1	Tom Blackledge	8 / 13	8 / 13	0 / 0	0

Tom Blackledge

StanceOrthodox

Height—

Reach—

Fights1

Anthony Perosh

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9