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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Johny Hendricks won · M-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1362

TJ GrantvsJohny HendricksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · Saturday, May 8, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Johny Hendricks won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(64.2%)

Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johny Hendricks at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Johny Hendricks has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

TJ Grant

Red Corner

Johny Hendricks

Blue Corner

+325

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-400

(80%)

1490

Elo

1362

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

TJ GrantW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11

vs Carlo Prater · May 12

vs Evan Dunham · Sep 12

KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13

KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13

latest

Johny HendricksL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16

vs Neil Magny · Dec 16

vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17

KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17

KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

TJ GrantMetricJohny Hendricks

3.95

Strikes / min

3.49

3.21

Strikes absorbed / min

3.99

56%

Strike defense

53%

1.63

TDs / 15 min

3.83

36%

Takedown defense

63%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.74Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

TJ GrantJohny Hendricks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

TJ Grant(8 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +127.7|Blue -127.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

TJ GrantTargetJohny Hendricks

By target zone

49% acc · 57%

Head

57% acc · 68%

88% acc · 33%

Body

67% acc · 4%

88% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 28%

By position

55% acc · 61%

Distance

63% acc · 64%

72% acc · 39%

Clinch

63% acc · 19%

Ground

82% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

TJ Grant rounds

even

Johny Hendricks rounds

Round 1TJ Grant edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:03

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:21Control

Round 2Johny Hendricks edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:06

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:12Control

Round 3Johny Hendricks edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

3:05Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 111

Sig Strikes

53 / 81

61%

Sig Str %

66.3%

78 / 123

Total Strikes

83 / 111

0 / 1

TDs

8 / 8

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

6:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Johny Hendricks	16 / 31	16 / 31	2 / 2
1	TJ Grant	30 / 52	32 / 54	0 / 1
2	Johny Hendricks	16 / 25	24 / 33	2 / 2
2	TJ Grant	22 / 36	27 / 41	0 / 0
3	Johny Hendricks	21 / 25	43 / 47	4 / 4
3	TJ Grant	15 / 23	19 / 28	0 / 0

TJ Grant

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8

Johny Hendricks

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights19