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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

TJ Dillashaw won · U-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1353

TJ DillashawvsMike EastonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

TJ Dillashaw won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTJ Dillashaw: Well-roundedvsMike Easton: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(54.9%)

Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Dillashaw at -330 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Easton enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mike Easton (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

TJ Dillashaw

Red Corner

Mike Easton

Blue Corner

-330

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1496

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

TJ Dillashaw

oldest →

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19

vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21

KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22

latest

Mike EastonL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Papazian · Jan 12

vs Ivan Menjivar · Jul 12

vs Raphael Assuncao · Dec 12

vs Brad Pickett · Apr 13

vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

TJ DillashawMetricMike Easton

5.09

Strikes / min

3.51

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

62%

Strike defense

61%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.75

77%

Takedown defense

66%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

TJ DillashawMike Easton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Mike Easton(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +142.3|Blue -142.3

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -186.0|Blue +186.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

TJ DillashawTargetMike Easton

By target zone

39% acc · 60%

Head

20% acc · 30%

83% acc · 17%

Body

64% acc · 30%

96% acc · 23%

Leg

90% acc · 39%

By position

46% acc · 63%

Distance

36% acc · 76%

60% acc · 28%

Clinch

73% acc · 24%

63% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

TJ Dillashaw rounds

even

Mike Easton rounds

Round 1TJ Dillashaw edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control1:16

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2TJ Dillashaw edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns1

Control3:41

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3TJ Dillashaw edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

117 / 232

Sig Strikes

46 / 111

52%

Sig Str %

44%

138 / 257

Total Strikes

51 / 116

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

41.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:57

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Easton	15 / 36	16 / 37	0 / 0
1	TJ Dillashaw	24 / 60	29 / 65	1 / 2
2	Mike Easton	11 / 20	15 / 24	0 / 1
2	TJ Dillashaw	45 / 61	61 / 81	1 / 3
3	Mike Easton	20 / 55	20 / 55	0 / 1
3	TJ Dillashaw	48 / 111	48 / 111	0 / 0

TJ Dillashaw

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Mike Easton

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7