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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

John Dodson won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1496

Elo1493

TJ DillashawvsJohn DodsonUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

John Dodson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:54

Style matchupTJ Dillashaw: Well-roundedvsJohn Dodson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(50.6%)

Actual result: John Dodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Dillashaw at -215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Dodson is a KO finisher (60% of wins). TJ Dillashaw has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

TJ Dillashaw

Red Corner

John Dodson

Blue Corner

-215

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1496

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'3"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

TJ Dillashaw

oldest →

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19

vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21

KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22

latest

John Dodson

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18

vs Petr Yan · Feb 19

KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

TJ DillashawMetricJohn Dodson

5.09

Strikes / min

3.20

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

62%

Strike defense

61%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.71

77%

Takedown defense

82%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.62Δ 2.00 — meaningful gap-0.38

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)John Dodson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.0|Blue -3.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

TJ DillashawTargetJohn Dodson

By target zone

0% acc

Head

29% acc · 86%

25% acc · 50%

Body

0% acc

25% acc · 50%

Leg

50% acc · 14%

By position

10% acc · 100%

Distance

23% acc · 71%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

TJ Dillashaw rounds

even

John Dodson rounds

Round 1John Dodson edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 21

Sig Strikes

7 / 24

Sig Str %

29%

2 / 21

Total Strikes

8 / 25

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	John Dodson	7 / 24	8 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	TJ Dillashaw	2 / 21	2 / 21	0 / 0	0

TJ Dillashaw

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

John Dodson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17