Featherweight

3 Rounds

Timmy Cuamba won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1497

Elo1480

Timmy CuambavsRoberto RomeroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Timmy Cuamba won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:55

Style matchupTimmy Cuamba: Well-roundedvsRoberto Romero: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Timmy Cuamba wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Timmy Cuamba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Timmy Cuamba at -108 American odds

+$93 profit

$193 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Timmy Cuamba is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Roberto Romero has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Timmy Cuamba has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Timmy Cuamba

Red Corner

Roberto Romero

Blue Corner

-108

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-108

(52%)

1497

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Timmy Cuamba

oldest →

vs Bolaji Oki · Feb 24

vs Lucas Almeida · Jun 24

vs ChangHo Lee · Nov 25

SUBvs Benardo Sopaj · May 26

latest

Roberto Romero

oldest →

vs David Onama · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Timmy CuambaMetricRoberto Romero

2.77

Strikes / min

4.56

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

6.44

57%

Strike defense

44%

1.31

TDs / 15 min

0.00

72%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.81Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-1.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Timmy CuambaRoberto Romero

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Timmy Cuamba(5 fights)Roberto Romero(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.9|Blue -16.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Timmy CuambaTargetRoberto Romero

By target zone

47% acc · 76%

Head

16% acc · 14%

75% acc · 18%

Body

86% acc · 54%

67% acc · 6%

Leg

85% acc · 31%

By position

49% acc · 88%

Distance

48% acc · 83%

75% acc · 9%

Clinch

86% acc · 17%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Timmy Cuamba rounds

even

Roberto Romero rounds

Round 1Roberto Romero edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:04

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:28Control

Round 2Timmy Cuamba edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control0:08

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 64

Sig Strikes

35 / 67

48.5%

Sig Str %

51.5%

35 / 66

Total Strikes

45 / 79

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 3

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

2:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Roberto Romero	22 / 34	27 / 40	0 / 2
1	Timmy Cuamba	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 2
2	Roberto Romero	13 / 33	18 / 39	0 / 1
2	Timmy Cuamba	24 / 37	26 / 39	1 / 2

Timmy Cuamba

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Roberto Romero

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights2