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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Benardo Sopaj won · Submission R2
Elo1497
Elo1529

Timmy CuambavsBenardo SopajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Saturday, May 16, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Benardo Sopaj won

Submission · Round 2 · 2:25

Style matchupTimmy Cuamba: Well-roundedvsBenardo Sopaj: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Benardo Sopaj wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Benardo Sopaj wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Benardo Sopaj threatens submissions; Timmy Cuamba has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Timmy Cuamba has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Timmy Cuamba
Red Corner
VS
Benardo Sopaj
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1497
Elo
1529
27
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Timmy CuambaW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Bolaji Oki · Feb 24
L
vs Lucas Almeida · Jun 24
W
KOvs Roberto Romero · Apr 25
W
vs ChangHo Lee · Nov 25
latest
Benardo Sopaj
oldest →
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Mar 24
W
vs Ricky Turcios · Jan 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Timmy CuambaMetricBenardo Sopaj
2.77
Strikes / min
4.24
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
57%
Strike defense
49%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
2.53
72%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Timmy Cuamba(5 fights)Benardo Sopaj(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -32.2|Blue +32.2
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -287.0|Blue +287.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Timmy Cuamba

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4

Benardo Sopaj

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights2