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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1539

Tim MeansvsUros MedicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uros Medic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:09

Style matchupTim Means: Pressure fightervsUros Medic: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Uros Medic wins(77.9%)

Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uros Medic at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Uros Medic (53.5%).
Tim Means has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tim Means

Red Corner

Uros Medic

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-280

(74%)

1492

Elo

1539

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim Means

oldest →

SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 22

vs Max Griffin · Oct 22

SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23

KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23

SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24

latest

Uros MedicW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 23

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim MeansMetricUros Medic

5.04

Strikes / min

5.59

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.42

60%

Strike defense

56%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

0.34

64%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+2.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tim MeansUros Medic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tim Means(10 fights)Uros Medic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.6|Blue +47.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tim MeansTargetUros Medic

By target zone

10% acc · 14%

Head

50% acc · 71%

83% acc · 71%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

36% acc · 71%

Distance

56% acc · 71%

67% acc · 29%

Clinch

50% acc · 14%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tim Means rounds

even

Uros Medic rounds

Round 1Uros Medic edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control1:18

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 17

Sig Strikes

7 / 12

41%

Sig Str %

58%

10 / 21

Total Strikes

11 / 16

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:18

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Uros Medic	7 / 12	11 / 16	0 / 1	0
1	Tim Means	7 / 17	10 / 21	0 / 3	0

Tim Means

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights29

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10