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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Junior Albini won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1374

Tim JohnsonvsJunior AlbiniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Saturday, July 22, 2017Uniondale, New York, USA

Official fight result

Junior Albini won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:51

Model Prediction: Tim Johnson wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Junior Albini wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Johnson at -280 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Junior Albini enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tim Johnson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tim Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Junior Albini
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
1491
Elo
1374
32
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim JohnsonW2 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Jared Rosholt · Aug 15
W
DECvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 16
L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · Nov 16
W
DECvs Daniel Omielanczuk · Mar 17
W
DECvs Marcelo Golm · Feb 18
latest
Junior AlbiniL4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 17
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18
L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 19
L
KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim JohnsonMetricJunior Albini
—
Strikes / min
3.98
—
Strikes absorbed / min
6.08
—
Strike defense
52%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.54
—
Takedown defense
100%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1500Strikes37.6 vs —Takedowns1.2 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.3 vs 0.0
Tim JohnsonJunior Albini

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tim Johnson(7 fights)Junior Albini(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +117.1|Blue -117.1
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tim Johnson

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Junior Albini

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5