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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · Decision R3
Elo1491
Elo1535
Alexander Volkov

Tim JohnsonvsAlexander VolkovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tim Johnson wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Johnson at -150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Tim Johnson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tim Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkov
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1491
Elo
1535
31
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'7"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim Johnson
oldest →
L
DECvs Jared Rosholt · Aug 15
W
DECvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 16
W
DECvs Daniel Omielanczuk · Mar 17
L
KOvs Junior Albini · Jul 17
W
DECvs Marcelo Golm · Feb 18
latest
Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23
W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24
L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24
W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25
W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim JohnsonMetricAlexander Volkov
—
Strikes / min
4.84
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.54
—
Takedown defense
68%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1500Strikes31.0 vs —Takedowns1.3 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.5 vs 0.0
Tim JohnsonAlexander Volkov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Tim Johnson(7 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -44.5|Blue +44.5
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tim Johnson

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights18