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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Tim Elliott won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1490

Tim ElliottvsVictor AltamiranoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Saturday, June 3, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tim Elliott won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTim Elliott: WrestlervsVictor Altamirano: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Victor Altamirano wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Victor Altamirano at +146 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Victor Altamirano (54.1%).
Victor Altamirano has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tim Elliott

Red Corner

Victor Altamirano

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+146

(41%)

1500

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim Elliott

oldest →

vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22

SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23

SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23

SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25

DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26

latest

Victor AltamiranoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Carlos Hernandez · Feb 22

KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Aug 22

vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23

vs Felipe dos Santos · Feb 24

vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim ElliottMetricVictor Altamirano

3.51

Strikes / min

4.58

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.82

56%

Strike defense

53%

3.61

TDs / 15 min

2.88

59%

Takedown defense

63%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tim ElliottVictor Altamirano

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tim Elliott(10 fights)Victor Altamirano(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.2|Blue -10.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +385.0|Blue -385.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tim ElliottTargetVictor Altamirano

By target zone

46% acc · 79%

Head

36% acc · 53%

67% acc · 14%

Body

75% acc · 32%

67% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

29% acc · 21%

Distance

48% acc · 79%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

50% acc · 21%

56% acc · 64%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tim Elliott rounds

even

Victor Altamirano rounds

Round 1Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control4:43

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control3:08

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:04Control

Round 3Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control3:22

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 57

Sig Strikes

19 / 39

53.3%

Sig Str %

44.3%

153 / 237

Total Strikes

102 / 142

6 / 7

TDs

1 / 1

88.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

11:13

Ctrl Time

1:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Victor Altamirano	2 / 8	47 / 67	0 / 0
1	Tim Elliott	9 / 14	44 / 76	2 / 2
2	Victor Altamirano	7 / 13	35 / 46	1 / 1
2	Tim Elliott	5 / 9	49 / 60	2 / 3
3	Victor Altamirano	10 / 18	20 / 29	0 / 0
3	Tim Elliott	14 / 34	60 / 101	2 / 2

Tim Elliott

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights21

Victor Altamirano

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6