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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Tim Elliott won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1405

Tim ElliottvsRyan BenoitUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Tim Elliott won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTim Elliott: WrestlervsRyan Benoit: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(70.0%)

Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Elliott at -141 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tim Elliott

Red Corner

Ryan Benoit

Blue Corner

-141

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+112

(47%)

1500

Elo

1405

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim Elliott

oldest →

vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23

SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23

SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23

SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25

DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26

latest

Ryan BenoitL2 streak

oldest →

vs Fredy Serrano · Jul 16

vs Brandon Moreno · Dec 16

KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17

vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19

vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim ElliottMetricRyan Benoit

3.51

Strikes / min

2.88

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

56%

Strike defense

58%

3.61

TDs / 15 min

0.28

59%

Takedown defense

72%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.51Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tim ElliottRyan Benoit

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tim Elliott(10 fights)Ryan Benoit(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +95.2|Blue -95.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tim ElliottTargetRyan Benoit

By target zone

31% acc · 46%

Head

40% acc · 71%

40% acc · 24%

Body

59% acc · 24%

69% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

32% acc · 66%

Distance

44% acc · 85%

70% acc · 21%

Clinch

53% acc · 15%

90% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tim Elliott rounds

even

Ryan Benoit rounds

Round 1Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:11

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control1:38

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Tim Elliott edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:53

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 169

Sig Strikes

55 / 122

39.7%

Sig Str %

46.7%

90 / 193

Total Strikes

64 / 131

1 / 13

TDs

1 / 2

5.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:42

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ryan Benoit	16 / 34	16 / 34	0 / 1	0
1	Tim Elliott	22 / 61	24 / 63	1 / 6	0
2	Ryan Benoit	20 / 34	21 / 35	1 / 1	2
2	Tim Elliott	23 / 50	41 / 69	0 / 3	1
3	Ryan Benoit	19 / 54	27 / 62	0 / 0	0
3	Tim Elliott	22 / 58	25 / 61	0 / 4	1

Tim Elliott

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights21

Ryan Benoit

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights9