Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edgar Chairez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Edgar Chairez threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Tim Elliott has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tim Elliott has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Edgar Chairez has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Edgar ChairezW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26W
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricEdgar Chairez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-1.10
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Edgar Chairez(6 fights)
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.
Neither fighter relies on finishes — likely a decision.
Historical win share: Edgar Chairez earned 75% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
