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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Costas Philippou won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1371
Tim Boetsch
Elo1490
Costas Philippou

Tim BoetschvsCostas PhilippouUFC Prediction Result

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · Saturday, December 29, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Costas Philippou won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:11

Model Prediction: Costas Philippou wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Costas Philippou wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Costas Philippou at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Tim Boetsch
Red Corner
VS
Costas Philippou
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1371
Elo
1490
45
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16
L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17
W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18
L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19
latest
Costas Philippou
oldest →
W
DECvs Riki Fukuda · Jul 12
L
DECvs Francis Carmont · Sep 13
L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jan 14
W
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · May 14
L
DECvs Gegard Mousasi · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tim BoetschMetricCostas Philippou
2.93
Strikes / min
—
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
1.45
TDs / 15 min
—
59%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1572 vs 1559Strikes32.8 vs 36.2Takedowns1.5 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.40Form0.9 vs 0.8
Tim BoetschCostas Philippou

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Tim Boetsch(10 fights)Costas Philippou(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -119.1|Blue +119.1
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tim Boetsch

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20

Costas Philippou

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2