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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Tiequan Zhang won · SUB R1
Elo1352
Tiequan Zhang
Elo1351

Tiequan ZhangvsJason ReinhardtUFC Prediction Result

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Saturday, February 26, 2011Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Tiequan Zhang won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:48

Model Prediction: Jason Reinhardt wins(65.4%)

Actual result: Tiequan Zhang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jason Reinhardt at +250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Tiequan Zhang threatens submissions; Jason Reinhardt has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Tiequan Zhang has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tiequan Zhang
Red Corner
VS
Jason Reinhardt
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
1352
Elo
1351
32
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
163 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tiequan ZhangL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 11
L
KOvs Issei Tamura · Feb 12
L
vs Jon Tuck · Nov 12
latest
Jason Reinhardt
oldest →
L
KOvs Edwin Figueroa · Aug 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tiequan ZhangMetricJason Reinhardt
—
Strikes / min
0.51
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
—
Strike defense
43%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.91
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes— vs 1.0Takedowns— vs 0.0Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Tiequan ZhangJason Reinhardt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Tiequan Zhang(4 fights)Jason Reinhardt(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tiequan Zhang

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1

Jason Reinhardt

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach—
Fights2