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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
Elo1352
Tiequan Zhang
Elo1499
Darren Elkins

Tiequan ZhangvsDarren ElkinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · Saturday, October 8, 2011Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Darren Elkins won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darren Elkins at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Tiequan Zhang
Red Corner
VS
Darren Elkins
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1352
Elo
1499
33
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tiequan ZhangL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Jason Reinhardt · Feb 11
L
KOvs Issei Tamura · Feb 12
L
vs Jon Tuck · Nov 12
latest
Darren Elkins
oldest →
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22
L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22
W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23
W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24
L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tiequan ZhangMetricDarren Elkins
—
Strikes / min
3.40
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
—
Strike defense
51%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.87
—
Takedown defense
56%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1514Strikes4.0 vs 26.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.5
Tiequan ZhangDarren Elkins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tiequan Zhang(4 fights)Darren Elkins(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -147.7|Blue +147.7
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tiequan Zhang

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1

Darren Elkins

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30