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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Shane Burgos won · Decision R3
Elo1491
Elo1496
Shane Burgos

Tiago TratorvsShane BurgosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Friday, December 9, 2016Albany, New York, USA

Official fight result

Shane Burgos won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tiago Trator wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Shane Burgos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tiago Trator at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Shane Burgos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tiago Trator
Red Corner
VS
Shane Burgos
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
1491
Elo
1496
29
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tiago Trator
oldest →
W
DECvs Akbarh Arreola · Jul 14
L
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Feb 15
W
DECvs Clay Collard · Sep 15
latest
Shane BurgosW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Nov 19
L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 20
L
KOvs Edson Barboza · May 21
W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Nov 21
W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tiago TratorMetricShane Burgos
—
Strikes / min
7.40
—
Strikes absorbed / min
6.78
—
Strike defense
56%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.43
—
Takedown defense
91%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes40.3 vs —Takedowns0.3 vs —Sub Atts0.33 vs —Form0.4 vs 0.0
Tiago TratorShane Burgos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Tiago Trator(4 fights)Shane Burgos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.7|Blue +5.7
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tiago Trator

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2

Shane Burgos

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11