Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Cody Garbrandt won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1398

Elo1487

Thomas AlmeidavsCody GarbrandtUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · Sunday, May 29, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Garbrandt won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:53

Style matchupThomas Almeida: Pressure fightervsCody Garbrandt: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Thomas Almeida wins(56.7%)

Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Thomas Almeida at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Thomas Almeida is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Cody Garbrandt has lost 63% of fights by KO.
Cody Garbrandt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Thomas Almeida has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Thomas Almeida has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Thomas Almeida

Red Corner

Cody Garbrandt

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1398

Elo

1487

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thomas AlmeidaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17

KOvs Rob Font · Jan 18

vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21

latest

Cody Garbrandt

oldest →

KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25

vs Xiao Long · Mar 26

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thomas AlmeidaMetricCody Garbrandt

4.84

Strikes / min

2.79

4.93

Strikes absorbed / min

3.66

61%

Strike defense

58%

0.17

TDs / 15 min

0.85

75%

Takedown defense

81%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Thomas AlmeidaCody Garbrandt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Thomas Almeida(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.5|Blue +89.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +106.0|Blue -106.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Thomas AlmeidaTargetCody Garbrandt

By target zone

39% acc · 90%

Head

42% acc · 86%

Body

0% acc

50% acc · 10%

Leg

75% acc · 14%

By position

40% acc · 100%

Distance

43% acc · 95%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Thomas Almeida rounds

even

Cody Garbrandt rounds

Round 1Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 25

Sig Strikes

21 / 48

40%

Sig Str %

43%

10 / 25

Total Strikes

22 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Garbrandt	21 / 48	22 / 49	0 / 0	0
1	Thomas Almeida	10 / 25	10 / 25	0 / 0	0

Thomas Almeida

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10

Cody Garbrandt

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights18