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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Silva won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Elo1356

Thiago SilvavsRafael FeijaoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · Saturday, June 8, 2013Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Thiago Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:29

Model Prediction: Thiago Silva wins(69.2%)

Actual result: Thiago Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Thiago Silva at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rafael Feijao enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Thiago Silva is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafael Feijao has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Silva
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Feijao
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
1490
Elo
1356
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thiago Silva
oldest →
L
vs Alexander Gustafsson · Apr 12
W
vs Matt Hamill · Oct 13
latest
Rafael FeijaoL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Nov 13
L
DECvs Ryan Bader · Jun 14
L
KOvs Patrick Cummins · Aug 15
L
DECvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thiago SilvaMetricRafael Feijao
3.92
Strikes / min
—
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
—
67%
Strike defense
—
1.03
TDs / 15 min
—
70%
Takedown defense
—
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1500Strikes27.9 vs —Takedowns0.6 vs —Sub Atts0.40 vs —Form-0.9 vs 0.0
Thiago SilvaRafael Feijao

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Thiago Silva(3 fights)Rafael Feijao(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +134.0|Blue -134.0
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red -48.4|Blue +48.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Thiago Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Rafael Feijao

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2