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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · SUB

Elo1432

Elo1450

Thiago SantosvsGlover TeixeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · Saturday, November 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

SUB

Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsGlover Teixeira: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(64.4%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Thiago Santos has lost 30% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Santos

Red Corner

Glover Teixeira

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1432

Elo

1450

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thiago SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jon Jones · Jul 19

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21

vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22

latest

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Sep 19

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thiago SantosMetricGlover Teixeira

3.72

Strikes / min

3.73

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

4.43

53%

Strike defense

51%

0.88

TDs / 15 min

2.11

65%

Takedown defense

60%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.15Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Thiago SantosGlover Teixeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Thiago Santos(10 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.6|Blue +17.6

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +312.0|Blue -312.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Thiago SantosTargetGlover Teixeira

By target zone

66% acc · 95%

Head

73% acc · 100%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 5%

Leg

By position

46% acc · 28%

Distance

40% acc · 4%

Clinch

73% acc · 73%

Ground

76% acc · 96%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Thiago Santos rounds

even

Glover Teixeira rounds

Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:04

20Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:02Control

Round 2Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:39Control

Round 3Thiago Santos edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:14

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 64

Sig Strikes

46 / 63

56.7%

Sig Str %

74.7%

81 / 109

Total Strikes

148 / 180

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 7

—

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:18

Ctrl Time

9:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Glover Teixeira	20 / 27	77 / 87	2 / 4	0
1	Thiago Santos	15 / 24	40 / 52	0 / 0	0
2	Glover Teixeira	22 / 31	58 / 78	1 / 1	1
2	Thiago Santos	3 / 7	9 / 14	0 / 0	0
3	Glover Teixeira	4 / 5	13 / 15	1 / 2	1
3	Thiago Santos	22 / 33	32 / 43	0 / 0	0

Thiago Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights24

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23