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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1432
Thiago Santos
Elo1354

Thiago SantosvsAndy EnzUFC Prediction Result

UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · Saturday, January 31, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Thiago Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:56

Style matchupThiago Santos: Well-roundedvsAndy Enz: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Thiago Santos at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Santos
Red Corner
VS
Andy Enz
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
1432
Elo
1354
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20
L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21
W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21
L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22
L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22
latest
Andy EnzL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Clint Hester · Feb 14
L
vs Marcelo Guimaraes · Jun 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thiago SantosMetricAndy Enz
3.72
Strikes / min
3.51
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
5.32
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
58%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.15Δ 2.96 — meaningful gap-1.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1466Strikes17.0 vs 55.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -1.0
Thiago SantosAndy Enz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Andy Enz(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +78.1|Blue -78.1
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Thiago SantosTargetAndy Enz

By target zone

15
47% acc · 75%
Head
1
4% acc · 100%
3
75% acc · 15%
Body
0
2
100% acc · 10%
Leg
0

By position

6
29% acc · 30%
Distance
1
4% acc · 100%
6
100% acc · 30%
Clinch
0
8
73% acc · 40%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Thiago Santos rounds
0
even
0
Andy Enz rounds
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
20 / 38
Sig Strikes
1 / 28
52%
Sig Str %
3%
21 / 39
Total Strikes
1 / 28
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:07
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andy Enz1 / 281 / 280 / 00
1Thiago Santos20 / 3821 / 390 / 00

Thiago Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24

Andy Enz

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3